NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 24, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavin Gray | 13 | 30 | 61.9% | 2 | 27.3 | 4 |
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 13 | 31 | 65.0% | 1 | 30.4 | 1 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 12 | 30 | 57.1% | 4 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 3 | Nick Boucher | 12 | 31 | 60.0% | 3 | 29.1 | 3 |
| 5 | Andrew Moeller | 11 | 31 | 55.0% | 5 | 26.1 | 5 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 10 | 30 | 47.6% | 6 | 25.4 | 6 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 7 | 23.3 | 8 |
| 7 | Luke Phelan | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 7 | 23.4 | 7 |
| 7 | Karl Loiseau | 8 | 32 | 42.1% | 7 | 22.9 | 9 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 7 | 32 | 36.8% | 10 | 21.4 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 11.9 | WAS | 0.72 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 9.0 | TEN | 0.59 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 6.4 | DET | 0.24 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 10.8 | LV | 0.76 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 12.0 | CIN | 0.69 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 7.6 | BUF | 0.23 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 13.0 | DEN | 0.76 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 8.2 | DAL | 0.28 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 8.8 | GB | 0.54 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 11.4 | ARI | 0.76 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 9.8 | SEA | 0.39 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 7.9 | NO | 0.55 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 10.8 | TB | 0.77 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 9.3 | JAX | 0.41 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 6.0 | PHI | 0.28 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 10.8 | PIT | 0.59 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 8.4 | IND | 0.45 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 6.2 | LAC | 0.23 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 11.7 | NE | 0.80 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 7.9 | SF | 0.31 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 3.7 | HOU | 0.39 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 9.2 | CLE | 0.61 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 5.3 | KC | 0.24 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8.4 | CHI | 0.77 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 11.0 | LA | 0.72 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 6.9 | MIN | 0.46 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 5.5 | NYJ | 0.41 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 3 | 8.2 | NYG | 0.59 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 5.9 | MIA | 0.20 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 7.3 | ATL | 0.41 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 23 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 26 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 19 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 22 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 21 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 3 | 10 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 12 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Draft Results
